On Feb. 24, military analyst Aleksandar Radic stated that Russia will likely insist on limiting its army's intervention in the Ukraine and that NATO is not expected to join the war directly, adding that Kiev can expect some form of support.
"We can see that Russia is insisting on limiting its attack. Such a plan is necessary because, due to the sanctions it is subject to and [its own] economic situation, Russia has limited resources [so] military goals must be dynamically enacted. The enemy must be crushed in a matter of days. Such is the plan. In war, however, plans are one thing while reality is another entirely," Radic told BETA.
The analyst added that the notion that Russia will not seek to occupy the Ukraine but merely demilitarize it, is paradoxical. "The only way to achieve that is to crush the Ukrainian Army and enter its territory. However, we see Russia employing NATO's concept of long-distance combat in the Ukraine's deep interior, [targeting] key military infrastructure, namely air force and air defense [structures]," Radic said.
In his opinion, it is unlikely that NATO will join the conflict directly but quite probable that the Alliance will support the Ukraine with strong propaganda as well all manner of intelligence gathered by satellites, reconnaissance planes, drones and agents.
"All elements of a special warfare will be employed against Russia, [including] cyber-attacks and propaganda. Some countries may send the Ukraine light anti-armor [grenades] and anti-aircraft missiles, but there is neither a readiness nor a willingness to deploy NATO troops. Aside from lots of propaganda and platitudes, the Ukrainian Army will be left to its own devices," Radic concluded.
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